The Federal government on Monday said it would begin a gradual withdrawal of fuel subsidy next year.
The Minister of State for Petroleum, Dr. Ibe Kachikwu, who disclosed the government’s decision while appearing before the Joint National Assembly Committee on Finance, Appropriation and National Planning on the consideration of Medium Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF), said the subsidy put at over N1 trillion in 2015 was no longer sustainable.
The federal government’s decision to shave off fuel subsidy coincided with reports that tumbling crude oil prices might adversely affect the nation’s 2016 budget.
At the Senate, the minister of state said the gradual removal strategy would begin with the nation's return to the pump price of N97 per litre from the current N87 because the government has no money to sustain the current price.
He added that if the strategy was not effective, the government would be compelled to consider total withdrawal of fuel subsidy.
"The total subsidy figure for 2015 when taken along with the NNPC will be in excess of N1 trillion. We can get this specifics but the point is largely that it does not involve NNPC because the agency takes its off-cuff. We will work towards taking those figures off our budget in 2016,” he said.
He said with the federal government’s current pricing work, it was clear that subsidy was no longer sustainable. “The government doesn't need to fund subsidy. There is energy around the removal of subsidy. Most Nigerians we talk to today would say, that's where to go,”he stated.
The minster said: "I have since left the dictionary of subsidy by going to price modulation, which is a bit more technical. Price of refined products today is N87. It was N97 before it was removed and we really have to go back to that because we don't really have the finance to remove it. There are lots of safety barometer between the N87 and N97 per litre regime between which government does not have to fund subsidy.
"Yet the prices would be fairly close to what it used to be today. That is the first mechanism we are going to work on. It is when that mechanism fails that we will begin to look at a total subsidy exit. We believe we could achieve that."
Kachikwu, who further explained the mechanism being put in place to increase oil production volume in 2016, said with the projection by OPEC, the government expects an increase in oil price from $38 per barrel in early January to between $45 and $50 per barrel. "We expect it to hit $70 per barrel in 2017," he added.Meanwhile, Kachikwu, has unveiled his plans to drive down the high cost of production in the country.
He stated that major operators in Nigeria’s oil and gas sector are considering setting up an integrated security model to help cut their costs of production in the country.He said that this was what oil majors in Nigeria were already thinking about to mitigate the hardship brought about by the price instability.According to him, the industry in Nigeria would embark on prudent restructuring processes that could include an integrated security model for all to benefit from.
Already, security issues, sabotage and crude oil theft have continued to present significant challenges to Nigeria’s oil industry. These continue to adversely impact on onshore oil and gas production as well as delivery to the market, thus leading to huge revenue loss to both government and operators.
Kachikwu, however, said: “Pricing has nothing to do with cutting your cost. Cutting of cost is an efficiency issue. Ideally even when you have high prices cutting your cost increases your margins. But what has tended to happen is when you have a lot of windows in pricing, you take a lot of things for granted.”
He said his ministry is strategically restructuring processes that would enable the country to cut down cost.
“For the majors, we are engaging with them at being very astute in terms of assets management to trim down costs. We are becoming a bit more preferential in terms of cost driving the investments that we make,” the minister said.
Kachikwu said the nation’s regulator’s operational network and how it manages the industry would change, explaining that an integrated security model would be introduced to drive the cost of security.
He said next year would be interesting and challenging for oil operators, calling on African producers to adopt innovative approaches to stay up in the market.
“I think the 2015/2016 timeframe is going to be full of a lot of actions for the oil industry: actions bordering on restructuring; integrity; new dynamics in terms of oil exploration and it is a very tasking as well as interesting time and I think a lot of country’s would be benefitting from this," he said.
The minster said the greatest challenge for a lot of countries, especially African producers was to go back to the strategic status of being the least cost producers in the market. “In an era of tumbling oil prices, we need to go back to what is our base advantages as a least cost producer,” he said.
Kachikwu said to safe cost, only viable projects would be done.
He also stated that OPEC might convene an emergency meeting earlier than its June 2016 scheduled meeting to assess the measures it had put in place to check further slide in crude oil prices.
According to him, “The strategy was to allow the market forces to determine the prices for a while in the expectation, obviously, that a lot of the higher cost producers would step aside for the lower cost producers.”
He said the strategy had led to the exit of over two million barrels of non-OPEC oil from the market, adding that it was expected that the trend would continue.